For those of you interested in many Propositions on the Novembers Ballot, check out a poll that was provided in todays “Nooner” by Scott Lay. It provides a decent preview of what we may expect come November. Typically I am not a fan of polling this early as their is plenty of time to swing votes, but some of these Propositions are clearly doomed.
Here is what Scott Lay had to say along with the results.
POLL POSITION: I’ll be candid that I was skeptical when I received the e-mail announcing a new poll conducted online by the California Business Roundtable and the Pepperdine School of Public Policy. Heck, I’m skeptical about any poll these days, particularly those where there is not a human-to-human contact. Nevertheless, I think the datapoints are pretty interesting and, I would bet, not too far off from where likely voters really are.
- Proposition 30: Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.
- Strongly Yes: 20.2%
- Somewhat Yes: 17.3%
- Leaning Yes: 18.7%
- Leaning No: 10.1%
- Somewhat No: 5.4%
- Strongly No: 23.6%
- TOTAL YES: 56.2%
- TOTAL NO: 39.2%
- Proposition 31: State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 7.9%
- Somewhat Yes: 13.6%
- Leaning Yes: 29.5%
- Leaning No: 20.0%
- Somewhat No: 5.7%
- Strongly No: 7.9%
- TOTAL YES: 51.0%
- TOTAL NO: 33.5%
- Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 23.2%
- Somewhat Yes: 18.2%
- Leaning Yes: 18.6%
- Leaning No: 10.3%
- Somewhat No: 7.0%
- Strongly No: 11.6%
- TOTAL YES: 60.0%
- TOTAL NO: 28.9%
- Proposition 33: Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver’s History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 16.5%
- Somewhat Yes: 18.7%
- Leaning Yes: 24.0%
- Leaning No: 10.7%
- Somewhat No: 6.1%
- Strongly No: 11.9%
- TOTAL YES: 59.3%
- TOTAL NO: 28.7%
- Proposition 34: Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 19.7%
- Somewhat Yes: 11.8%
- Leaning Yes: 14.1%
- Leaning No: 10.7%
- Somewhat No: 7.1%
- Strongly No: 28.9%
- TOTAL YES: 45.5%
- TOTAL NO: 46.7%
- Proposition 35: Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 49.3%
- Somewhat Yes: 20.2%
- Leaning Yes: 18.7%
- Leaning No: 3.6%
- Somewhat No: 1.8%
- Strongly No: 1.0%
- TOTAL YES: 88.2%
- TOTAL NO: 6.4%
- Proposition 36: Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 23.1%
- Somewhat Yes: 23.4%
- Leaning Yes: 25.3%
- Leaning No: 7.3%
- Somewhat No: 4.5%
- Strongly No: 7.2%
- TOTAL YES: 71.7%
- TOTAL NO: 19.0%
- Proposition 37: Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 27.2%
- Somewhat Yes: 19.6%
- Leaning Yes: 18.1%
- Leaning No: 10.1%
- Somewhat No: 7.6%
- Strongly No: 6.2%
- TOTAL YES: 64.9%
- TOTAL NO: 23.9%
- Proposition 38: Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 7.2%
- Somewhat Yes: 10.5%
- Leaning Yes: 17.3%
- Leaning No: 12.1%
- Somewhat No: 14.0%
- Strongly No: 28.1%
- TOTAL YES: 35.0%
- TOTAL NO: 54.2%
- Proposition 39: Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute.
- Strongly Yes: 18.4%
- Somewhat Yes: 14.0%
- Leaning Yes: 23.0%
- Leaning No: 9.1%
- Somewhat No: 5.4%
- Strongly No: 12.8%
- TOTAL YES: 55.4%
- TOTAL NO: 27.2%
- Proposition 40: Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum.
- Strongly Yes: 19.7%
- Somewhat Yes: 16.0%
- Leaning Yes: 19.9%
- Leaning No: 10.6%
- Somewhat No: 4.2%
- Strongly No: 6.8%
- TOTAL YES: 55.7%
- TOTAL NO: 21.5%
Remember, on that last one that “yes means no,” and the lines would not be redrawn.
Source:
http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/
